Arctic Climate Impact Assessment (ACIA)

The Arctic Climate Impact Assessment (ACIA) from 2004 represents the first effort to comprehensively examine climate change and its impacts in the Arctic region. The ACIA report focuses on impacts that are expected to occur within this century.

The results summarized in the ACIA report do not include thorough economic analyses of climate change impacts because the necessary information is not presently available. The projected impacts described in the report are based on observed data and a moderate scenario of future warming, not a worst-case scenario.

The 10 Key Findings of the ACIA report are presented below:

  • Arctic climate is now warming rapidly and much larger changes are projected.
  • Arctic warming and its consequences have worldwide implications.
  • Arctic vegetation zones are very likely to shift, causing wide-ranging impacts.
  • Animal species' diversity, ranges, and distribution will change.
  • Many coastal communities and facilities face increasing exposure to storms.
  • Reduced sea ice is very likely to increase marine transport and access to resources.
  • Thawing ground will disrupt transportation, buildings, and other infrastructure.
  • Indigenous communities are facing major economic and cultural impacts.
  • Elevated ultraviolet radiation levels will affect people, plants, and animals.
  • Multiple influences interact to cause impacts to people and ecosystems.